Indiana Pacers vs. Atlanta Hawks odds, tips and betting trends, NBA Picks (04/14/2024)

The Pacers, boasting a commendable 46-35 record, are set to host the Atlanta Hawks at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. With the Pacers riding the momentum of a four-game home winning streak, they're stepping onto the court with confidence and the support of their home crowd. The Hawks, holding a 36-45 record, are undoubtedly the underdogs in this encounter but are no less determined to cause an upset.

This Sunday showdown is expected to be a spectacle of skill and strategy, with the Pacers favored to win by a substantial 13-point margin. The high point total of 235.5 suggests a fast-paced, offensive game that will keep fans riveted. As the clock ticks down to the 1:00 PM ET tip-off, all eyes will be on these two teams as they battle it out on the hardwood.

Pacers vs. Hawks Betting Odds Spread:

The betting odds for the Pacers vs. Hawks game are quite telling of the expectations surrounding this matchup. The Indiana Pacers are heavily favored with a -13 point spread, indicating that they are expected to win by a comfortable margin. The total points over/under is set at 235.5, suggesting that a high-scoring game is anticipated by the oddsmakers.

In terms of the moneyline, the Pacers are at -833, which shows a strong confidence in their likelihood of winning, while the Atlanta Hawks are at +572, reflecting their underdog status. These odds represent the payouts for bets on each team; a bet on the favored Pacers would yield a smaller return due to their high chance of winning, whereas a successful bet on the Hawks could result in a larger payout due to the lower probability of an upset.

Hawks at Pacers odds, spread, & more

Prediction

The prediction for the Hawks at Pacers game suggests a competitive battle on the court. With the Hawks at (+13), the expectation is that they will cover the point spread, despite being the underdogs. This means they are predicted to lose by less than 13 points or potentially win the game outright.

The Over (235.5) pick for the total points indicates that the game is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with the combined score of both teams surpassing 235.5 points.

The final score prediction of Pacers 125 – Hawks 116 aligns with the other bets, suggesting a Pacers victory but not by the margin the odds suggest, hence the Hawks covering the spread. It's a bold prediction that sees the Pacers maintaining their strong form while the Hawks put up a formidable fight, ensuring an engaging game for the fans.

Moneyline:

The moneyline statistics paint a clear picture of both teams' performances this season. The Indiana Pacers have a strong track record, winning 25 out of 42 games where they were favored, which translates to a win rate of 59.5%. Their status as a heavy favorite in this matchup with a moneyline of -833 has only occurred once this season, and they secured a win in that instance. This gives them an implied victory probability of 89.3%, showcasing the confidence the oddsmakers have in their ability to win.

On the other side, the Atlanta Hawks have been the underdog in many of their games, with a record of 12-27 when not favored, which is a 30.8% win rate. Interestingly, they have been in the position of a +572 moneyline underdog or longer only once this season, and they emerged victorious, defying the odds. Their implied moneyline win probability of 14.9% in this game, while low, indicates that there's still a chance for an upset, keeping the excitement alive for fans and bettors alike.

These statistics underscore the unpredictability of sports and the potential for any game to defy expectations. While the Pacers are heavily favored, the Hawks have shown that they can pull off a win even when the odds are stacked against them.

Against The Spread:

Analyzing the performance against the spread (ATS), the Indiana Pacers have demonstrated a strong offensive capability, averaging 122.9 points per game, which is slightly higher than the 120.1 points the Atlanta Hawks typically concede. This offensive prowess has translated into a solid ATS record for the Pacers, standing at 38-13 when they surpass the 120.1-point threshold, reflecting their ability to outperform expectations.

The Hawks, while not as dominant, have shown resilience, with a 17-16 ATS record when they score over 120.3 points. Their overall record of 24-9 in such scenarios indicates that they can be a formidable force when their offense clicks.

On defense, the Pacers have a mixed record. They are 27-16-1 ATS and 29-15 overall when holding opponents below 118.4 points. This suggests that when their defense is on point, they are a tough team to beat.

Statistically, the Pacers lead the league in scoring, while the Hawks are more generous on defense, ranking 27th in points allowed. Conversely, the Hawks are the fifth-ranked scoring team, and the Pacers are 28th in points allowed, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair.

The season's point differential also tells a story; the Pacers have outscored their opponents by 208 points (an average of 2.6 points per game), while the Hawks have been outscored by 137 points (an average of 1.7 points per game). These figures suggest that the Pacers have a slight edge in terms of consistent performance, but in the world of sports, any game can defy the stats. The upcoming Pacers vs. Hawks game is shaping up to be an intriguing contest, with both teams having the potential to tip the scales in their favor.

Over/Under

When examining the Over/Under for the Indiana Pacers and Atlanta Hawks, we see that the Pacers have an average implied point total of 123.7 for the season, which is just slightly below the 124 points expected for Sunday's game. This indicates that the Pacers are consistently performing near this level, and the upcoming game's point total is set with their scoring trends in mind.

Throughout the season, the Pacers have managed to score more than 124 points in 39 games, showcasing their offensive strength and ability to put up high numbers on the scoreboard. This consistency in scoring reflects their potential to meet or exceed the implied point total for the upcoming game against the Hawks.

On the other hand, the Hawks have an average implied point total of 120.1 this season, which is significantly higher than the 111 points implied for them in this particular matchup. This discrepancy suggests that the oddsmakers are anticipating a lower scoring performance from the Hawks, possibly due to the Pacers' defensive strategies or the Hawks' recent form.

Pacers vs Hawks Game Details:

Game Day: Sunday, April 14, 2024

Game Time: 1:00 PM ET

TV Channels: BSIN and BSSE, also available on Bally Sports

Location: Indianapolis, Indiana

Arena: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Pacers vs Hawks Injury Report:

The injury report for the upcoming game between the Atlanta Hawks and the Indiana Pacers indicates several key players sidelined due to various reasons:

For the Atlanta Hawks:

Wesley Matthews (SG) and Seth Lundy (G) are both out with an estimated return date of April 14, which means they will likely miss the upcoming game.

Onyeka Okongwu (PF) is out until May 9, and Jalen Johnson (SF) is out until May 2, which will impact the team's depth in the forward positions.

- Saddiq Bey (SF) is out for the season (OFS) and is not expected back until December 1.

For the Indiana Pacers:

-Obi Toppin (PF) is listed as game-time decision (GTD) for April 14, meaning his participation will be decided close to the game start.

Isaiah Jackson (SF) is out for the game on April 14.

Bennedict Mathurin (SG)is out for the season (OFS) and is projected to return by October 1.